Post by account_disabled on Jan 28, 2024 6:56:17 GMT
The invitation to Ukraine to enter the Union, scheduled for December, may remain a toast to the sun. The process, no matter how much it is cut, will be long and painful, and any favorable treatment would create comparative grievances among the Balkan applicants. THE SLOW WEAR IN RUSSIA In Russia, war fatigue is more drowned out by the increasingly repressive nature of the political system. But also due to an increasingly perceptible fear that the war will bring even more poverty and misery (the lack of freedoms is taken for granted). Putin must take solace in the fact that liberal politicians or media speakers refugees in the West placed him on the verge of the end, after Prigozhin 's coup . Whether or not there was revenge, the disappearance of this character (helpful, first; uncomfortable, later) has had practical utility, typical of authoritarian states.
There is no path other than that indicated by the leader. The Russian elites who have supported Putin do not believe the time has come to try to replace him, although they do not rule it out, say some Russian liberal Phone Number Database commentators. It is also not clear that they had the concentration of force essential to achieve it. THE END OF NAGORNO-KARABAK, AS A SYMPTOM The discredit factor, on the other hand, is not manageable by the Kremlin. And it has been seen in the recent crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh (Upper Karabakh), an enclave with a majority Armenian population within Azeri territory. Nagorno-Karabakh has become a gift to Erdogan, who reinforces his influence in the Caucasus by favoring his protégé in the area The status-quo that has been maintained, with minor or non-decisive alterations, since the beginning of the nineties, has been blown up when Russia has stopped acting as guarantor .
When the political situation in Armenia changed in 2018 and its new leaders distanced themselves from Moscow, the Kremlin took note. Armenia began to be an uncomfortable protégé a little earlier, when Putin decided that rapprochement with Turkey had very considerable strategic value for Russia. President Erdogan has been Azerbaijan's main supporter in its dispute with Armenia and in its declared intention to end the Armenian entity in Nagorno-Karabakh. The Ukraine crisis: diplomatic dissonances Over the past decade, Putin has played carrot and stick in the Caucasus. When Armenia has outlived its usefulness, or worse, when it has dared to approach the West, in the face of Russian ambiguities, the Kremlin has made a virtue of necessity.
There is no path other than that indicated by the leader. The Russian elites who have supported Putin do not believe the time has come to try to replace him, although they do not rule it out, say some Russian liberal Phone Number Database commentators. It is also not clear that they had the concentration of force essential to achieve it. THE END OF NAGORNO-KARABAK, AS A SYMPTOM The discredit factor, on the other hand, is not manageable by the Kremlin. And it has been seen in the recent crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh (Upper Karabakh), an enclave with a majority Armenian population within Azeri territory. Nagorno-Karabakh has become a gift to Erdogan, who reinforces his influence in the Caucasus by favoring his protégé in the area The status-quo that has been maintained, with minor or non-decisive alterations, since the beginning of the nineties, has been blown up when Russia has stopped acting as guarantor .
When the political situation in Armenia changed in 2018 and its new leaders distanced themselves from Moscow, the Kremlin took note. Armenia began to be an uncomfortable protégé a little earlier, when Putin decided that rapprochement with Turkey had very considerable strategic value for Russia. President Erdogan has been Azerbaijan's main supporter in its dispute with Armenia and in its declared intention to end the Armenian entity in Nagorno-Karabakh. The Ukraine crisis: diplomatic dissonances Over the past decade, Putin has played carrot and stick in the Caucasus. When Armenia has outlived its usefulness, or worse, when it has dared to approach the West, in the face of Russian ambiguities, the Kremlin has made a virtue of necessity.